How to get classification probabilities from MultilayerPerceptronClassifier? - java

This seems most related to: How to get the probability per instance in classifications models in spark.mllib
I'm doing a classification task with spark ml, building a MultilayerPerceptronClassifier. Once I build a model, I can get a predicted class given an input vector, but I can't get the probability for each output class. The above listing indicates that NaiveBayesModel supports this functionality as of Spark 1.5.0 (using a predictProbabilities method). I would like to get at this functionality for the MLPC. Is there a way I can hack at it to get my probabilities? Will it be included in 1.6.2?

If you take a look at this line in the MLPC source code, you can see that the MLPC is working from an underlying TopologyModel which provides the .predict method I'm looking for. The MLPC decodes the resulting Vector into a single label.
I'm able to use the trained MLPC model to create a new TopologyModel using its weights:
MultilayerPerceptronClassifier trainer = new MultilayerPerceptronClassifier()...;
MultilayerPerceptronClassificationModel model = trainer.fit(trainingData);
TopologyModel topoModel = FeedForwardTopology.multiLayerPerceptron(model.layers(), true).getInstance(model.weights());

I think the short answer is No.
The MultilayerPerceptronClassifier is not probabilistic. When the weights (and any biases) are set after training, the classification for a given input will always be the same.
What you're really asking, I think, is "if I were to tweak the weights by certain random disturbances of a given magnitude, how likely would the classification be the same as without the tweaks?"
You could do an ad hoc probability calculation by re-training the perceptron (with different, randomly chosen starting conditions) and get some idea of the probability of various classifications.
But I don't think this is really part of the expected behavior of a MLPC.

Related

Combining multiple saved Classifier in weka

Have huge distributed datasets which are trained to produce classifiers.All the datasets have identical attributes and the training is done using a single algorithm J48.
The problem I am facing is as to how would combine these classifiers to have a single classifier which can be used for testing and predicting data.
I am using weka tool for the code.Have converted the weka jar to dll.Using C# language.
Any help in C# or Java would be of great help.
If any additional information is needed you are free to ask.
Thanks
It is perfectly possible to do what you are asking for. You could build N different classifiers from N different but compatible datasets and combine their outputs to form a new dataset of higher order. Its a hierarchical way of combining classifiers and there is a great variety in ways of doing that. Its called 'ensembling' or 'classifier ensemble'. There are a large number of technical articles detailing how to do it.
One approach would be:
1. Train/get N different classifiers.
2. Build a new dataset with its probability output for a known set of instances, one instance per row, the set-of-output-probalities per set of columns. And the right/known class.
3. Throw away the old attributes and retain only the output probs calculated and known class.
4. Train a new model/classifier with this higher order dataset (don't need to use the whole data, only a moderate subsample).
5. For every new instance, get lower level probabilities (using N classifiers), as previously done, and apply higher level classifier over these newly constructed instance.
Hope to have helped.
I don't think it is possible if you create N classifiers on N training sets and then combine N classifiers to generate a single one. Because first, the data are different; second, so the models will be different. Instead, what I would do is if I were happy with the N results, I would combine all N datasets and develop a single model from it to test and predict unseen data.

Mallet Feature Selection similar to setting feature values to 0

I'm looking at the Mallet source codes, and it seems that most of the classifier implementations (e.g naive bayes) didn't really take into account the feature selections even though the InstanceList class has a setFeatureSelection method.
Now I want to conduct some quick experiments with my datasets with feature selection involved. I am thinking, from a technical shortcut standpoint, I might get the lowest ranking features and set those values to 0 in the instance vectors. Is this equivalent in machine learning to feature selection in classifier training whereby they are not considered at all (if smoothing e.g laplace estimation is not involved)?
thank you
Yes, setting the feature value to zero will have the same effect as removing it from the feature vector, since MALLET has no notion of "missing features," only zero and nonzero feature values.
Using the FeatureSelection class isn't too painful, though. MALLET comes with several built-in classes that apply a "mask" under the hood based on RankedFeatureVector sublcasses. For example, to use information gain feature selection, you should just be able to do this:
FeatureSelection fs = FeatureSelection(new InfoGain(ilist), numFeatures);
ilist.setFeatureSelection(fs);
You can also implement your own RankedFeatureVector subclass (the API is here) for something more customized. To manually select features some other way, you can still do so by creating a feature mask as a BitSet that contains all the feature ids (from the Alphabet) that you want to use, e.g.:
java.util.BitSet featureMask = /* some code to pick your features */;
FeatureSelection fs = FeatureSelection(ilist.getAlphabet(), featureMask);
ilist.setFeatureSelection(fs);
In general, I recommend using FeatureSelection objects instead of destructively changing the instance data.

Extract important attributes in Weka

That's rather newbie question, so please take it with a grain of salt.
I'm new in the field of data mining and trying to get my head wrapped around this topic. Right now I'm trying to polish my existing model so that it classifies instances better. The problem is, that my model has around 480 attributes. I know for sure that not all of them are relevant, but it's hard for me point out which are indeed important.
The question is: having valid training and test sets, does one can use some sort of data mining algorithm which would throw away attributes that seem to not have any impact on the quality of classification?
I'm using Weka.
You should test using some of the Classifier algorithms that Weka has.
The basic idea is to use the Cross-validation option, so you can see which algorithm gives you the best Correctly Classified Instances value.
I can give you an example of one of my training set, using the Cross-validation option and choosing Folds 10.
As you can see, using the J48 classifier I will have:
Correctly Classified Instances 4310 83.2207 %
Incorrectly Classified Instances 869 16.7793 %
and if I will use for example the NaiveBayes Algorithm I will have:
Correctly Classified Instances 1996 38.5403 %
Incorrectly Classified Instances 3183 61.4597 %
and so on, the values differ depending on the algorithm.
So, test as many algorithms as possible and see which one gives you the best Correctly Classified Instances / Time consumed.
Comment converted to answer as OP suggested:
If You use weka 3.6.6 - select module explorer -> than go to tab "Select attributes" and choose "Attribute evaluator" and "Search method", you can also choose between using full data set or cv sets, for more details see e.g. http://forums.pentaho.com/showthread.php?68687-Selecting-Attributes-with-Weka or http://weka.wikispaces.com/Performing+attribute+selection
Read up on the topic of clustering algorithms (only on your training set though!)
Look into the InfoGainAttributeEval class.
The buildEvaluator() and the evaluateAttribute(int index) functions should help.

How do I determine a best-fit distribution in java?

I have a bunch of sets of data (between 50 to 500 points, each of which can take a positive integral value) and need to determine which distribution best describes them. I have done this manually for several of them, but need to automate this going forward.
Some of the sets are completely modal (every datum has the value of 15), some are strongly modal or bimodal, some are bell-curves (often skewed and with differing degrees of kertosis/pointiness), some are roughly flat, and there are any number of other possible distributions (possion, power-law, etc.). I need a way to determine which distribution best describes the data and (ideally) also provides me with a fitness metric so that I know how confident I am in the analysis.
Existing open-source libraries would be ideal, followed by well documented algorithms that I can implement myself.
Looking for a distribution that fits is unlikely to give you good results in the absence of some a priori knowledge. You may find a distribution that coincidentally is a good fit but is unlikely to be the underlying distribution.
Do you have any metadata available that would hint at what the data means? E.g., "this is open-ended data sampled from a natural population, so it's some sort of normal distribution", vs. "this data is inherently bounded at 0 and discrete, so check for the best-fitting Poisson".
I don't know of any distribution solvers for Java off the top of my head, and I don't know of any that will guess which distribution to use. You could examine some statistical properties (skew/etc.) and make some guesses here--but you're more likely to end up with an accidentally good fit which does not adequately represent the underlying distribution. Real data is noisy and there are just too many degrees of freedom if you don't even know what distribution it is.
This may be above and beyond what you want to do, but it seems the most complete approach (and it allows access to the wealth of statistical knowledge available inside R):
use JRI to communicate with the R statistical language
use R, internally, as indicated in this thread
Look at Apache commons-math.
What you're looking for comes under the general heading of "goodness of fit." You could search on "goodness of fit test."
Donald Knuth describes a couple popular goodness of fit tests in Seminumerical Algorithms: the chi-squared test and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. But you've got to have some idea first what distribution you want to test. For example, if you have bell curve data, you might try normal or Cauchy distributions.
If all you really need the distribution for is to model the data you have sampled, you can make your own distribution based on the data you have:
1. Create a histogram of your sample: One method for selecting the bin size is here. There are other methods for selecting bin size, which you may prefer.
2. Derive the sample CDF: Think of the histogram as your PDF, and just compute the integral. It's probably best to scale the height of the bins so that the CDF has the right characteristics ... namely that the value of the CDF at +Infinity is 1.0.
To use the distribution for modeling purposes:
3. Draw X from your distribution: Make a draw Y from U(0,1). Use a reverse lookup on your CDF of the value Y to determine the X such that CDF(X) = Y. Since the CDF is invertible, X is unique.
I've heard of a package called Eureqa that might fill the bill nicely. I've only downloaded it; I haven't tried it myself yet.
You can proceed with a three steps approach, using the SSJ library:
Fit each distribution separately using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Using SSJ, this can be done with the static method getInstanceFromMLE(double[] x,
int n) available on each distribution.
For each distribution you have obtained, compute its goodness-of-fit with the real data, for example using Kolmogorov-Smirnov: static void kolmogorovSmirnov (double[] data, ContinuousDistribution dist, double[] sval,double[] pval), note that you don't need to sort the data before calling this function.
Pick the distribution having the highest p-value as your best fit distribution

Calculating Mutual Information For Selecting a Training Set in Java

Scenario
I am attempting to implement supervised learning over a data set within a Java GUI application. The user will be given a list of items or 'reports' to inspect and will label them based on a set of available labels. Once the supervised learning is complete, the labelled instances will then be given to a learning algorithm. This will attempt to order the rest of the items on how likely it is the user will want to view them.
To get the most from the user's time I want to pre-select the reports that will provide the most information about the entire collection of reports, and have the user label them. As I understand it, to calculate this, it would be necessary to find the sum of all the mutual information values for each report, and order them by that value. The labelled reports from supervised learning will then be used to form a Bayesian network to find the probability of a binary value for each remaining report.
Example
Here, an artificial example may help to explain, and may clear up confusion when I've undoubtedly used the wrong terminology :-) Consider an example where the application displays news stories to the user. It chooses which news stories to display first based on the user's preference shown. Features of a news story which have a correlation are country of origin, category or date. So if a user labels a single news story as interesting when it came from Scotland, it tells the machine learner that there's an increased chance other news stories from Scotland will be interesting to the user. Similar for a category such as Sport, or a date such as December 12th 2004.
This preference could be calculated by choosing any order for all news stories (e.g. by category, by date) or randomly ordering them, then calculating preference as the user goes along. What I would like to do is to get a kind of "head start" on that ordering by having the user to look at a small number of specific news stories and say if they're interested in them (the supervised learning part). To choose which stories to show the user, I have to consider the entire collection of stories. This is where Mutual Information comes in. For each story I want to know how much it can tell me about all the other stories when it is classified by the user. For example, if there is a large number of stories originating from Scotland, I want to get the user to classify (at least) one of them. Similar for other correlating features such as category or date. The goal is to find examples of reports which, when classified, provide the most information about the other reports.
Problem
Because my math is a bit rusty, and I'm new to machine learning I'm having some trouble converting the definition of Mutual Information to an implementation in Java. Wikipedia describes the equation for Mutual Information as:
However, I'm unsure if this can actually be used when nothing has been classified, and the learning algorithm has not calculated anything yet.
As in my example, say I had a large number of new, unlabelled instances of this class:
public class NewsStory {
private String countryOfOrigin;
private String category;
private Date date;
// constructor, etc.
}
In my specific scenario, the correlation between fields/features is based on an exact match so, for instance, one day and 10 years difference in date are equivalent in their inequality.
The factors for correlation (e.g. is date more correlating than category?) are not necessarily equal, but they can be predefined and constant. Does this mean that the result of the function p(x,y) is the predefined value, or am I mixing up terms?
The Question (finally)
How can I go about implementing the mutual information calculation given this (fake) example of news stories? Libraries, javadoc, code examples etc. are all welcome information. Also, if this approach is fundamentally flawed, explaining why that is the case would be just as valuable an answer.
PS. I am aware of libraries such as Weka and Apache Mahout, so just mentioning them is not really useful for me. I'm still searching through documentation and examples for both these libraries looking for stuff on Mutual Information specifically. What would really help me is pointing to resources (code examples, javadoc) where these libraries help with mutual information.
I am guessing that your problem is something like...
"Given a list of unlabeled examples, sort the list by how much the predictive accuracy of the model would improve if the user labelled the example and added it to the training set."
If this is the case, I don't think mutual information is the right thing to use because you can't calculate MI between two instances. The definition of MI is in terms of random variables and an individual instance isn't a random variable, it's just a value.
The features and the class label can be though of as random variables. That is, they have a distribution of values over the whole data set. You can calculate the mutual information between two features, to see how 'redundant' one feature is given the other one, or between a feature and the class label, to get an idea of how much that feature might help prediction. This is how people usually use mutual information in a supervised learning problem.
I think ferdystschenko's suggestion that you look at active learning methods is a good one.
In response to Grundlefleck's comment, I'll go a bit deeper into terminology by using his idea of a Java object analogy...
Collectively, we have used the term 'instance', 'thing', 'report' and 'example' to refer to the object being clasified. Let's think of these things as instances of a Java class (I've left out the boilerplate constructor):
class Example
{ String f1;
String f2;
}
Example e1 = new Example("foo", "bar");
Example e2 = new Example("foo", "baz");
The usual terminology in machine learning is that e1 is an example, that all examples have two features f1 and f2 and that for e1, f1 takes the value 'foo' and f2 takes the value 'bar'. A collection of examples is called a data set.
Take all the values of f1 for all examples in the data set, this is a list of strings, it can also be thought of as a distribution. We can think of the feature as a random variable and that each value in the list is a sample taken from that random variable. So we can, for example, calculate the MI between f1 and f2. The pseudocode would be something like:
mi = 0
for each value x taken by f1:
{ sum = 0
for each value y taken by f2:
{ p_xy = number of examples where f1=x and f2=y
p_x = number of examples where f1=x
p_y = number of examples where f2=y
sum += p_xy * log(p_xy/(p_x*p_y))
}
mi += sum
}
However you can't calculate MI between e1 and e2, it's just not defined that way.
I know information gain only in connection with decision trees (DTs), where in the construction of a DT, the split to make on each node is the one which maximizes information gain. DTs are implemented in Weka, so you could probably use that directly, although I don't know if Weka lets you calculate information gain for any particular split underneath a DT node.
Apart from that, if I understand you correctly, I think what you're trying to do is generally referred to as active learning. There, you first need some initial labeled training data which is fed to your machine learning algorithm. Then you have your classifier label a set of unlabeled instances and return confidence values for each of them. Instances with the lowest confidence values are usually the ones which are most informative, so you show these to a human annotator and have him/her label these manually, add them to your training set, retrain your classifier, and do the whole thing over and over again until your classifier has a high enough accuracy or until some other stopping criterion is met. So if this works for you, you could in principle use any ML-algorithm implemented in Weka or any other ML-framework as long as the algorithm you choose is able to return confidence values (in case of Bayesian approaches this would be just probabilities).
With your edited question I think I'm coming to understand what your aiming at. If what you want is calculating MI, then StompChicken's answer and pseudo code couldn't be much clearer in my view. I also think that MI is not what you want and that you're trying to re-invent the wheel.
Let's recapitulate: you would like to train a classifier which can be updated by the user. This is a classic case for active learning. But for that, you need an initial classifier (you could basically just give the user random data to label but I take it this is not an option) and in order to train your initial classifier, you need at least some small amount of labeled training data for supervised learning. However, all you have are unlabeled data. What can you do with these?
Well, you could cluster them into groups of related instances, using one of the standard clustering algorithms provided by Weka or some specific clustering tool like Cluto. If you now take the x most central instances of each cluster (x depending on the number of clusters and the patience of the user), and have the user label it as interesting or not interesting, you can adopt this label for the other instances of that cluster as well (or at least for the central ones). Voila, now you have training data which you can use to train your initial classifier and kick off the active learning process by updating the classifier each time the user marks a new instance as interesting or not. I think what you're trying to achieve by calculating MI is essentially similar but may be just the wrong carriage for your charge.
Not knowing the details of your scenario, I should think that you may not even need any labeled data at all, except if you're interested in the labels themselves. Just cluster your data once, let the user pick an item interesting to him/her from the central members of all clusters and suggest other items from the selected clusters as perhaps being interesting as well. Also suggest some random instances from other clusters here and there, so that if the user selects one of these, you may assume that the corresponding cluster might generally be interesting, too. If there is a contradiction and a user likes some members of a cluster but not some others of the same one, then you try to re-cluster the data into finer-grained groups which discriminate the good from the bad ones. The re-training step could even be avoided by using hierarchical clustering from the start and traveling down the cluster hierarchy at every contradiction user input causes.

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